Whether you believe it or not, fishing is a science. Like most scientific researchers fishermen develop their theories from questions that arise through personal experience, tales told from other anglers, and sometimes out right myths. The only way to validate these theories is to zero in on the variables and test them against the fish themselves.
Many anglers are scientific researchers and they are not even aware of it. They build on tips from their dad or granddad, and then put them to the test in a natural setting. This is a form of research. The only difference is many fishermen draw their conclusions and then keep them safely to themselves. They do not rush to publish them in an article or journal for all the other fishing researchers to evaluate. However, this does not mean they did not use the scientific method for drawing their conclusions.
The second man observes this and when the first man reels in an empty hook; he theorizes that the first anglers hook is too small. He promptly reels in and ties on a larger hook to his own pole and cast out again. Several minutes later his line tightens and his reel begins to squeal. He grabs it firmly and pulls hard in the air, and like the first angler his line falls limp. Only when he reels it in, he finds that his bait is still there, only void of a few scales.
The definition of scientific method is simple, first we form a theory and then we try to reduce it down to something that is testable and provable; this is known as the hypothesis. We then weigh the variables. In fishing the variables can include a number of things such as weather, bait, water temperature, gear, etc.
Here is a hypothetical situation, which begins with a man fishing on a shoreline next to several other anglers. It is dusk and the brown trout appear to be actively feeding. All these men are experiencing activity on their lines, however; all but one fail to land a fish. The first angler watches his pole as the line goes from a quiet state to a screaming whine as the fish grabs his bait and runs. He grabs the pole and lunges it upward above his head and as quickly as it began the line falls limp in the water.
Jeff Bezos’ space company Blue Origin published an updated timeline for the first flight of New Glenn, the orbital rocket it’s building to complement its existing New Shepard suborbital space launch vehicle. The company is now targeting Q4 2022 – a slippage of roughly a year from the prior stated timeline of sometime towards the end of 2021. The main cause, per Blue Origin? Space Force passing on using New Glenn to launch national security payloads during a recent contract bid process.
Blue Origin said in a blog post that the “schedule has been refined to match the demand of Blue Origin’s commercial customers,” and specifically says it “follows the recent Space Force decision to not select New Glenn for the National Security Space Launch (NSSL) Phase 2 Launch Services Procurement (LSP).” Those awards were announced last August, and the two winners were the United Launch Alliance (ULA) and SpaceX, who prevailed over Blue Origin, and also Northrop Grumman. The launch service contracts that make up the awards begin in 2022, so it makes sense why Blue Origin had been pushing for a first launch of New Glenn by the end of this year in order to meet the needs of Space Force.
While it may not be under the same time pressure without access to those contracts, it’s still making “major progress” towards New Glenn and the facilities at Cape Canaveral in Florida from which it’ll launch, according to the company. Blue Origin shared tweets showing off some of its progress, including work on the New Glenn rocket factory, testing facility and Launch Complex 36. It also said it’s put more than $2.5 billion into the facilities and infrastructure that will support its eventual launches.